In article <(E-Mail Removed)>, John Navas <(E-Mail Removed)> wrote:
>Dearth of devices hampers growth of next-gen technology
><http://www.theregister.com/2006/07/18/informa_mobile_report/>
I've no doubt this will be true in the rest of the world, but this will not
apply in the US. It isn't a lack of devices, it is a lack of service and
will remain that way well beyond 2011. Just look at your favorite Cingular,
they still haven't got 'universal' coverage in the US yet (not talking in
some remote valley, but small town America).
Williamson, WV, my Verizon phone worked sort of (if you stood in the right
spot at the hotel parking lot), the folks with Cingular nada...
Can't sell that 3G network when the basic network still doesn't work. Why
should I pay for all these extra services when I can't even make a simple
phone call...
I'm serious about this, the companies need to get coverage fixed, then I'm
open to the next sales pitch. Data is a much desired function, but come on,
lets get phone calls working first.
>
> The number of 3.5G mobile broadband subscribers globally will soar
> from around 2.5m to more than 300m in 2011 despite a shortage in
> compelling devices, according to a new study.
>
> Mobile operators are looking to supercharge mobile data access speeds
> with technology that puts 3G on steroids, offering download speeds of
> anything up between 1-2Mbps.
>
> These so-called 3.5G services use a variety of technologies, including
> High-Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA) enhancements to the W-CDMA
> (Wideband Code Division Multiple Access) 3G technology and
> Evolution-Data Optimised (EV-DO), an extension to the CDMA family of
> standards.
>
> Handset availability problems that affected the market development of
> 3G will be repeated in the case of the 3.5G market, according to a
> report by market analysts Informa Telecoms and Media. It expects a
> dearth of suitable handsets and devices to be a problem until at least
> the end of next year.
>
> "A lack of compelling devices and content led to delayed launches and
> slow take-up of W-CDMA and EV-DO services, and early HSDPA and EV-DO
> Revision A services are expected to suffer from the very same
> problems," said Malik Saadi, principal analyst at Informa Telecoms and
> co-author of its Future Mobile Broadband Strategic Report.
>
> Most HSDPA services are launching with only PC cards and notebooks,
> although a number of early handsets are also arriving. The CDMA camp
> is even further behind in developing kit. "As of June no major vendor
> has unveiled plans for EV-DO Rev. A handsets, although data cards are
> on the way," Saadi said.
>
> ...
>
> Mobile WiMAX will compete with HSPA and EV-DO Rev A/B in mobile
> broadband markets but will be hampered to an even greater extent than
> those technologies from the slow arrival of compelling notebooks and
> handsets.
>
> "Mobile WiMAX will play a relatively minor role in the mobile
> broadband market through 2011, largely because Mobile WiMAX notebooks
> and tablets will not arrive in volume until 2008-09, and compelling
> Mobile WiMAX handsets won't arrive until 2010," said Mike Roberts,
> principal analyst at Informa and the second co-author of the Future
> Mobile Broadband report.
>
> "By comparison, HSDPA notebooks and handsets are already shipping,
> which means that the HSDPA device market is one to two years ahead of
> the Mobile WiMAX device market," he added.
>
> While WiMax might be slow off the starting blocks in the mobile
> market, the technology will do much better in the fixed, nomadic and
> portable broadband segments over the next five years. Many WiMAX
> subscribers will be using fixed indoor modems rather than mobile
> devices, Informa predicts.
>
> [MORE]
>
fundamentalism, fundamentally wrong.
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