On 2 Jan, 19:14, LR <l...@privacy.net> wrote:
> On 02/01/2009 18:22, Kurt Ullman wrote:> In article<IemdnYnac4L1y8PUnZ2dnUVZ8rmdn...@bt.com>,
> > * LR<l...@privacy.net> *wrote:
>
> >>http://www.giganews.com/news/article...ed-growth.html
>
> > * * All this basically says is that giganews' traffic has jumped. Some of
> > this is probably related to dinosaurs such as ourselves from Comcast and
> > similar ISP that dropped Usenet entirely. Much may be related to picking
> > up a couple of outsourced ISPs. Last year, IIRC ELN moved to giganews as
> > their provider of Usenet services. No indication of what is happening to
> > Usenet in general.
>
> I think it is difficult for a general user to see what is happening with
> Usenet as groups come and go and with the expansion of internet access
> in "3rd world countries" there will probably be new local language
> groups which will appear for a while and then cease and then users will
> migrate to another group for while as their interests change.
> <http://groups.google.com/group/J2EE/about>
> <http://groups.google.com/group/immediate-responsegooglegroupscom/about>
> <http://groups.google.com/group/Dubai-propertie/about>
> <http://groups.google.com/group/USA-California_jobs/about>
> <http://groups.google.com/group/tieungaotrang/about>
> If the recession lasts a long time how many of the present web based
> sites will continue to exist and if they do reduce in number perhaps
> people will return to a text based newsgroup.
I am convinced that usenet text newsgroups are declining
and will continue to decline. I think that there are two
main factors.
1.
Ease of creation of 'discussion groups' on numerous
web sites along with the presumed ease of creation
of such sites. There are dozens and dozens of sites.
2.
Unmoderated groups are in the long term
less viable due to "bad actors". I have only
regularly read a few groups (less than 10) and
of those one has been destroyed by a single
individual as a matter of his policy over a period
of a *decade* and another two are presently
wrecked. The damage being caused by
a large volume of ridiculous (usually
rude and insulting) posts. When a newcomer
to such things appears and sees death threats
then it does not take much to persuade them
to go away quitely.
3.
Barrier to entry - news-servers, new-readers...
I looked at a video made by the Computer History
Museum where a gentleman who may have been
the founder of usenet newsgroups said that
the idea had failed due to the influence of Bad
Actors. i.e. people up to no good on the group.
I think this may have been it:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZJvg...F83301&index=1
There are significant barriers to entry unless
you use Google Groups however there is a small
but not completely insignificant pressure to
banish google users from usenet by popularising
the idea that they are undesireable. I bumped
into a campaign website of such an organisation
only today.